-06002008-08-12T13:25:18-06:00312008b-06:00Tue, 12 Aug 2008 13:25:18 -0600 10, 2007 · 3:32 -06:0008
NFC SOUTH – This could possibly be the worst division in football. Atlanta is in a full rebuilding mode, Carolina is in neutral, New Orleans is overrated and Tampa Bay is incredibly mediocre. It would not surprise me at all to see the division winner with only 8 or 9 wins.
1. New Orleans Saints 10-6
New Orleans is 2 years removed from an NFC Championship game and it makes many wonder just how they got there. QB Drew Brees will have a nice array of targets to throw to in WRs Devery Henderson, Marques Colston, Robert Meachem and TE Jeremy Shockey. The biggest question mark is at RB where Reggie Bush can’t seem to do the job. RB Pierre Thomas may start over both Bush and the oft injured Deuce McAllister. The defense is going to be better this season but it still has holes. The strength should be on the defensive line where newly acquired Sedrick Ellis joins Thomas Hollis, Will Smith and Charles Grant to make up one of the better lines in football. They will certainly be better against the run this season. The linebacking corp and defensive backs are a bit light though and they will give up some points. Here is the biggest key though. If Bush steps up and becomes that 1,200 yards on the ground, 500 yards receiving guy they thought they drafted, the Saints go 12-4. If they can’t run then they are .500 or slightly better.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9-7
The Bucs have a ton of potential but seem to be very unorganized. The bright side on offense are the receivers. Hilliard, Clayton, Galloway, Stovall, Bryant and rookie Dexter Jackson make up the deepest receiving corp in the NFL. Unfortunately they have no idea who is going to throw the ball to them. Currently Garcia is #1 on the depth chart but he is in Gruden’s dog house. The next in line would be unproven Luke McCown with Brian Griese behind him. The also have rookie Josh Johnson and rehabbing Chris Simms on the roster. In my opinion they put on their eggs in the Favre basket and it didn’t happen. Not to mention they are not a great running team. Graham and Dunn are OK but the Bucs need a healthy Cadillac back in the lineup. Defensively the Bucs are solid all-around. They have a very solid linebacking corp, tough guys on the line and good defensive backs. If they can mount any consistent offense they will pass New Orleans. If not they will struggle their way to a wildcard birth.
3. Carolina Panthers 7-9
Carolina is another team that is another team that is a really good QB away from making playoff push. They have a very solid running game in DeAngelo Williams, Nick Goings and rookie Jonathan Stewart. They also have a solid receiving corp with All-Pro Steve Smith, Mushin Muhammed, D.J. Hackett and Travis Taylor. The line and tight ends are also pretty good. Unfortunately Delhomme regressed tremendously last year and had injuries. The 3 other QBs in camp have 5 years of experience between them. The defense is in a little bit of a rebuilding phase. They needed defensive line help and didn’t address it until the mid rounds. Julius Peppers also took a bit of a step back last year because their aren’t any other playmakers on the line. The strength on defense is probably the linebackers. Diggs, Beason and rookie Dan Conner make up a very strong group. However they may struggle at times due to the issues on the d-line. The defensive backs are OK but will also struggle if the line can’t apply pressure to the opposing QBs.
4. Atlanta Falcons 5-11
Well, they certainly don’t have to worry about Vick anymore. They have moved on with rookie QB Matt Ryan. Early indications are that he will start and should do pretty well. They do need to continue to acquire more weapons for him but they have started by getting RB Michael Turner via free agency. WRs Finneran, Jenkins and Roddy White make up an OK group. They are hoping 2nd year receiver Laurent Robinson becomes a feared deep threat this season. The defense is under construction this season. Veteran LB Keith Brookings is still on board but all areas of the defense are weak. They will give up a lot of points this season. A special teams bright spot is the acquisition of K Jason Elam. He will win a couple of close games on his leg alone.
AFC SOUTH – This division is tough from top to bottom. You could seriously draw up scenarios in which each team in this division has an opportunity to win it. The Colts are the older, veteran squad still capable of double digit wins. The Texans are the young guns that can win 9 or 10 games if they avoid injuries and those young team mistakes. Jacksonville is just a solid team all around and Tennessee should be very competitive despite rebuilding on the fly.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars 12-4
I look for Jacksonville to break out and be one of the better teams in the NFL. First off they have a dynamite RB duo in Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor. They have a deep corp of receivers led by Matt Jones, Jerry Porter and Reggie Williams. They also have a very talented TE in Marcedes Lewis. Last but not least is QB David Garrard. He played understudy to Byron Leftwich for years. He got his opportunity after Leftwich suffered mulitple injuries that effected his career. He is a very technically sound passer that makes few errors. The defense is very good and it all starts on their defensive line. DT John Henderson, DE Paul Spicer and rookie DE Derrick Harvey should make up one of the more aggressive lines in the AFC. The linebackers are led by 10 year veteran Mike Petersen. They are a quick, aggressive bunch as well. Look for passing heavy teams to have a hard time with Jacksonville.
2. Indianapolis Colts 11-5
Indianapolis still has many of its championship pieces in place from last season but they do have holes in a few spots and that will be enough to knock them down into the wildcard race. It almost goes without saying but if you have Peyton Manning as your QB you probably won’t finish below .500. He still has weapons at WR in Reggie Wayne, an aging Marvin Harrison, 2nd year slot receiver Anthony Gonzalez and TE Dallas Clark. However they do lack depth and need to stay healthy. RB Joseph Addai had a pretty good season but being the main RB hurt his production. So the Colts brought Dominic Rhodes back and drafted Michigan RB Mike Hart. A rotation of the three of them should prove to be formidable. Finally the offensive line is getting a little old. They are in the middle of rebuilding the offensive line. The age of the veterans and inexperiece of the younger linemen will effect the production of the skills players. The defense is where Indy has most of the worries. First off they lost Cato, Boiman and Morris in the last 2 seasons and haven’t adequately replaced them. Rookie Philip Wheeler should eventually be a talented outside linebacker but he’ll need a few years of experience. The Colts also lost defensive lineman Anthony MacFarland and have DL stud Dwight Freeney coming back from a serious foot injury. His full recovery is crucial to the success of the defense. Finally the defensive backs are young and talented. They may struggle against the better passing teams if the front seven can’t penetrate.
3. Houston Texans 9-7
Houston could finally break through and get a playoff spot in 2008. If the injury bug hits Indy and Tennessee struggles that could mean 10 wins for Houston. However, Houston also needs to avoid that same injury bug that effected them in 2007. Houston is led by an awesome defense front led by DE Mario Williams, DE Anthony Weaver, DT Jeff Zgonina and DT Amobi Okoye. They also took run stuffing DT Frank Okam in the 2008 draft. The linebackers were good in 2007 and they should be better this year. Free agent Rosey Colvin will be joining Ryans, Thompson and Greenwood to make up a stellar group of linebackers. Not to be out done, the young, fast defensive backfield led by Will Demps and 2nd year CB Fred Bennett should have their share of interceptions. The offense will not out-score other teams. They do have weapons in QB Matt Schaub and WR Andre Johnson but I look for them to be a conservative, time-eating machine. Look for rookie RB/WR Steve Slaton to contribute mightly.
4. Tennessee Titans 8-8
I would love to pick Tennessee a little higher here but there is simply too much competition in the division. However, despite their last place finish in the division, the Titans definitely have a bright future. QB Vince Young has a new offensive coordinator in the returning Mike Heimerdinger. His offenses have been receiver-driven, but also have the ability to control games with a rushing attack. This is good news for WRs Justin McCareins, Roydell Williams, Justin Gage and rookie Lavelle Hawkins. RBs LenDale White and rookie Chris Johnson should develop into a dynamic duo in the next couple of years. The defense is still pretty solid led by DE Jevon Kearse, DT Albert Haynesworth and LB Keith Bullock. The defensive backfield is a little less impressive but should be made a little better by a talented front seven.